• ShittyBeatlesFCPres@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Helene’s size shocked me but the storm surge for Katrina was unusually extreme. It was a well organized Category 5 and then weakened to a strong 3 right before landfall.

    To compare with Helene, which was similar in terms of (east to west) diameter but covered much more area overall, with category 4 winds at landfall: the Weather Channel was making a big deal out of the 8ft storm surges. During Katrina, the Mississippi Gulf Coast had a 28 foot storm surge. (The Miss. Gulf Coast isn’t that geographically different from the Fla. big bend region but that plays a role too.)

    Helene’s unusual movement speed kept it strong very far inland and caused massive issues in places that rarely see tropical weather. Harvey was the opposite: it stalled over Houston and dumped days of rain on a major metropolis.

    I wish we could update the Saffir Simpson scale to something that takes into account more variables. There are other measurements but no storm is identical in terms of damage potential. A category 5 can not even make landfall whereas something like Hurricane Sandy was a category 1 (or equivalent since it wasn’t technically still a hurricane) when it hit NYC and caused massive damage and flooded subway systems. Sometimes, a storm hitting a place that isn’t used to them can knock over all the trees or flood rivers while a similar storm would be nothing to Miami or New Orleans.

    • Flying Squid@lemmy.worldOP
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      2 months ago

      Helene is more deadly than Katrina if you don’t count the deaths after the boat broke the levee that was well beyond its lifespan in New Orleans, which you shouldn’t since that was a 100% fixable issue that was not taken care of.

      • ShittyBeatlesFCPres@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        We always say Katrina was a man-made disaster. I worry with climate change, that other places will be testing their infrastructure. Katrina should have been the canary in the coal mine and a lot of people just said, “Don’t live below sea level.” Old river damns can break just as easily as neglected levees.

        • Flying Squid@lemmy.worldOP
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          2 months ago

          It was definitely a man-made disaster when it came to New Orleans. I made this analogy to someone else: if lightning strikes a skyscraper and the skyscraper burns down and kills everyone inside due to a lack of a sprinkler system, is that really death by a natural cause? I would say it’s death by gross incompetence.

          • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            But we couldn’t have the poor corporation taking the responsibility for that. They’d never get their insurance pay out! And after all that work disabling the sprinkler system and installing extra metal antennae in the roof…

          • WoodScientist@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            The real problem with “never live on a floodplain” is that you can’t know where the floodplains are. The flood maps are all based on historical rainfall data, and that data is now obsolete. Even worse, it won’t stabilize in our lifetimes. So we can’t just observe the next ten years of rainfall and plan around that. No, things are changing, and they will continue to change. You might think you don’t live on a 500 year floodplain. But the cold truth of it is, we no longer have any idea where the 500 year flood plains are anymore. You need decades of weather observations of a stable climate to come up with accurate flood maps. And we just don’t have that kind of reliable data anymore. Unless you happen to live on the top of a very tall hill, you really can’t be sure you don’t live in a flood zone of some sort or another.

            • Soggy@lemmy.world
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              1 month ago

              I live on top of a hill that drains directly into the ocean. If my house floods I have different problems.

              I also won’t live on the side of hills without a very clear understanding of the local watershed, soil stability, nearby land rights… I took a lot of Earth science classes and honestly it’s kinda traumatizing to peek behind the curtain. Shit is fucked.

  • brucethemoose@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Well, it’s not over.

    This is coming next week. Path is unclear, and its not as big as Helene, but anything near a 930mb in Tampa Bay and plowing over Orlando at 950mb, especially at this angle, is a catastrophe.

    Katrina was 920mb at landfall, and these intensity forecasts have been undershooting hurricanes recently.

    And there’s another low pressure system at the edge of the GFS that I don’t like, taking a similar path to Helene:

    This is what the upcoming hurricane looked like a few days ago.

  • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    I remember when conservatives were hooting and hollering about Climate Science Being Wrong, because the predicted “Worst hurricane season on record” wasn’t producing a record number of powerful storms.

    Well… now what? I guess we can fall back to Gaetz and DeSantis blaming Biden for a bad cleanup job. Or go the MTG approach and start talking about HARP and the Jewish Space Lasers.

    • PriorityMotif@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Eventually there won’t be any insurer’s left in those areas and most people will just abandon them. Of course the federal government will keep giving them flood insurance to rebuild over and over.

      • HeyThisIsntTheYMCA@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        oh hey, all those east coasters can sell their worthless flooded houses to the west coast coasters selling their worthless burnt down houses fleeing the fires since no insurers will cover anywhere.

    • WhatYouNeed@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Didn’t you know those space lasers heated up the atmosphere just over Republican counties, to maximize the damage there?

  • leadore@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    What I don’t like about these graphics is there is no data source so you have to look it up to know how much to believe about what they say. So for those wondering, per Wikipedia:

    • Helene was a Cat 4, its max diameter was between 400-450 miles, max wind speed of 140 mph is correct. Known fatalities so far > 227 and counting.

    • Katrina was a Cat 5, 400 miles in diameter as shown, but with a max windspeed of 175 mph, not 125. For those too young to remember, Katrina was a very, very bad storm. So bad. Over 1392 fatalities (official estimate; exact number unknown). BTW Katrina also had a big tail/wing(?) stretching to the north when it hit land like what Helene had, but thinner since further west–but those don’t count as part of the measured diameter of the hurricane.

    My opinion of this graphic: Hurricanes are getting worse because of climate change, but we don’t need to convince people of that by downplaying Katrina or making Helene look scarier–Helene is also very very bad. It’s all bad, folks.

    Katrina photo:

    • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Katrina was a man made disaster. It would not have taken a tenth of the lives it did if the levees had been maintained.

    • Aermis@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      This infuriates me so much. I am sitting here like a dumbass saying that this storm is worse than Katrina. Like I know I should do research before being confident in what I know but how many small infographics like this do we digest and then regurgitate a political opinion based off of them

  • JackLSauce@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Not sure what the science is between 2 images with no source or timestamp and nearly 20 years of technological improvement between them is but this isn’t the peak of Katrina

    Katrina ultimately reached its peak strength as a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson scale on August 28. Its maximum sustained winds reached 175 mph (280 km/h) and its pressure fell to 902 mbar (hPa; 26.63 inHg), ranking it among the strongest ever recorded in the Gulf of Mexico.

    It probably refers to its stats at landfall

    Katrina weakened to a Category 3 before making landfall along the northern Gulf Coast, first in southeast Louisiana (sustained winds: 125mph) and then made landfall once more along the Mississippi Gulf Coast (sustained winds: 120mph). Katrina finally weakened below hurricane intensity late on August 29th over east central Mississippi.

    But power doesn’t equal damage for weather

    [Katrina] is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992. In addition, Katrina is one of the five deadliest hurricanes to ever strike the United States

    Sources:

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meteorological_history_of_Hurricane_Katrina

    https://www.weather.gov/mob/katrina

    • Flying Squid@lemmy.worldOP
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      2 months ago

      But power doesn’t equal damage for weather

      Only if you count what happened in New Orleans after the storm, which was an infrastructure issue, not a weather issue.

          • thoro@lemmy.ml
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            2 months ago

            What is the point of comparing Helene to Katrina? Harvey was also a 4.

            Why discount the impact of Katrina just because there were systematic issues? It was a natural disaster and that was the impact.

            Because it comes off to me like you’re trying to “well ackshully” about Helene being really the most devastating hurricane.

  • SzethFriendOfNimi@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    It’s also good to remember that Katrina’s storm surge and the subsequent failure of the levees and flooding of the city is what was so damaging.

    Besides the wind and rain the destruction of the levees took a huge toll on New Orleans.

  • CatZoomies@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Wow, so according to MTG, I guess Democrat technology has really advanced over the past few years!

      • CatZoomies@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        I guess “They” could have been me. I am voting blue, hopefully I didn’t vote blew and accidentally summon Helene with my democrat science/leechcraft.

        • TheTetrapod@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          In case you didn’t get it, normally on the right “they” is a dog whistle for Jewish people. Especially coming from Marjorie Taylor “Jewish Space Lasers” Greene.

  • aeronmelon@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Helene looks like a thrice-divorced hurricane.

    I think we’re just a few years away from the planetary cyclones in Day After Tomorrow.

    • atx_aquarian@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      I want someone to project that map onto a globe to illustrate how ridiculous it was. The elegantly circular arcs of the north sides of those storms would look bizarrely teardrop-pinched, if I’m not mistaken.