Summary

Trump’s popular vote share has fallen below 50% to 49.94%, with Kamala Harris at 48.26%, narrowing his margin of victory.

Trump’s share of the popular vote is lower than Biden’s in 2020 (51.3%), Obama’s in 2012 (51.1%) and 2008 (52.9%), George W. Bush’s in 2004 (50.7%), George H.W. Bush’s in 1988 (53.2%), Reagan’s in 1984 (58.8%) and 1980 (50.7%), and Carter’s in 1976 (50.1%).

The 2024 election results highlight Trump’s narrow victory and the need for Democrats to address their mistakes and build a diverse working-class coalition.

The numbers also give Democrats a reason to push back on Trump’s mandate claims, noting most Americans did not vote for him.

  • ObjectivityIncarnate@lemmy.world
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    4 hours ago

    This is major league copium. The fact is that Trump’s opponent got way more votes in 2020 than in 2024, and had the blue turnout in 2024 equaled what it was in 2020, he would not have won in 2024. Period.

    • Bosht@lemmy.world
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      1 hour ago

      Yeah I’m really not sure why these conversations are still going on. It’s painfully clear that Dems lost this election because of voter turnout.

  • BigBenis@lemmy.world
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    4 hours ago

    Great! We can relish the fact that he didn’t win over the majority of Americans as our country descends into a fascist hellhole run by billionaires, war hawks and rapists.

    • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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      3 hours ago

      Usually, “mandate” used to mean overwhelming support from the majority. If these percentages hold up, donvict has a plurality. Even if he had a bare majority with Kamala and him having ~1.5% delta, it’s not like it is some real mandate, either…

  • DuckWrangler9000@lemmy.world
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    5 hours ago

    The Democratic party is a lost cause. They NEVER take any responsibility for their actions. What they did this election should even be illegal. They had no primary, so as a Democratic voter, I had no choice in who I was voting for. They picked my candidate for me, and it wasn’t even the incumbent! What’s the point of a democracy where my vote doesn’t matter, because THEY decide who I have to vote for? It’s stupid! They keep doing it over and over. Before, they threw Bernie under the bus and backed Hillary whether we liked it or not. They keep making the same dumb mistakes over and over because they just don’t care about working class people

  • AidsKitty@lemmy.world
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    18 hours ago

    This is a ridiculous argument. Orange man won the electoral college, got the most votes, won the senate, house of reps, the presidency, and the supreme court. What more is there to lose?

    • TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world
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      17 hours ago

      Plenty of coping from the liberal corporate media, instead of admitting that liberals abandoned the working class to court the monied interests.

      • CleoTheWizard@lemmy.world
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        16 hours ago

        It really didn’t have much to do with abandoning anyone. It didn’t matter what democrats proposed at all. The vast majority of people answers they were dissatisfied with America in exit polls. The economy is doing fine on paper but people don’t feel that way. It was the inability to distance from Biden and provide actual radical solutions to things that got them voted down.

        At this point it has nothing to do with working class policies. It has everything to do with voter dissatisfaction and pandering to moderates.

        • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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          3 hours ago

          Yep. The “liberal media” kept up a drum beat with the inflation and of course did next to nothing to tell the low info the real source and it wasn’t all inflation.

        • LotrOrc@lemmy.world
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          5 hours ago

          The economy doing fine means nothing for 99.9% of people. All that means is rich people made money. People have seen a decrease in their pockets

        • Semi-Hemi-Lemmygod@lemmy.world
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          15 hours ago

          The third dimension of the political compass is radical vs. moderate. People want more radical change, and the Democrats didn’t meet them there.

          • CleoTheWizard@lemmy.world
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            13 hours ago

            Exactly. In a high dissatisfaction environment, you must do your best to distance from the status quo which is why Trump got elected twice. It’s not that democrats are proposing bad policies, it’s that they’re only associated with changes that don’t mean much to average people. They represent the status quo far too much to be interesting.

  • Grandwolf319@sh.itjust.works
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    14 hours ago

    I actually prefer him wining the popular vote. At least this time it’s what most Americans (that are willing to show up) want.

  • Sam_Bass@lemmy.world
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    22 hours ago

    At no time in the history of modern politics has the “popular vote” taken precedence over the electoral college. If you’ll remember, biden’s campaign made that point during his defeat of the orange 4 years ago. And the orange complained pretty loudly about it

    • btaf45@lemmy.world
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      10 hours ago

      At no time in the history of modern politics has the “popular vote” taken precedence over the electoral college.

      Everybody already knows that. It sill matters. Or would matter, if Harris had gotten more total votes.

    • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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      20 hours ago

      Not to mention the numbers I saw still show he has more votes than her, he just fell below 50%, add in the people who voted for other candidates or voted for other positions and not president and she is below. I saw only 4% of votes left in California, meaning he will beat her by at least a million votes.

      • JaggedRobotPubes@lemmy.world
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        12 hours ago

        It’s still good to know he doesn’t have one, be able to prove it, and say it a lot all over the place with the receipts in hand.

        • TempermentalAnomaly@lemmy.world
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          10 hours ago

          I think this type of thinking is dealing with Trump the wrong way. Censoring him is pointless. He’s going to say what he wants until it isn’t useful and then pivot. He’s going to do what he wants regardless of what he says.

          Don’t take him literally. Take him seriously. Defend at the points of real vulnerability. Counter at the right times. Sow discord and distrust in his hapless helpers and incompetent ranks.

          Play to win.

      • frunch@lemmy.world
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        21 hours ago

        Seriously, how far does that excuse get anyone? “Well everyone didn’t vote for him so whatever” and he says “Yeah they did 🥴” and proceeds to do whatever tf he wants anyway ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

    • Betonhaus@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      I thought we spent four years exhaustively proving that the election cannot be stolen? How did they find loopholes after the Democrats exhaustively proved they didn’t exist?

      • gmtom@lemmy.world
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        20 hours ago

        It wasn’t that it can’t be stolen. We proved the dems didn’t steal it.

        This year we had lots of evidence of fraud and manipulation by Rs and like do you really think Trump and Musk would actually just play fair?

      • Bytemeister@lemmy.world
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        18 hours ago

        I thought we spent four years exhaustively proving that the election cannot be stolen?

        Wrong.

        Trump’s team claimed for 4 years that the election was stolen without evidence. We’ve spent 4 years showing that the 2020 election was not stolen, which does not mean that election fraud doesn’t exist and never will exist.

      • KneeTitts@lemmy.world
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        16 hours ago

        I thought we spent four years exhaustively proving that the election cannot be stolen

        Um, hate to tell you bro, trump did cheat and steal the 2016 election (proven in court, 34 counts convicted)

      • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        The biggest problem with the letters that went around is that it would require every swing state Secretary of State to stay quiet about it happening. And some of those SoS’s are die hard democracy and election people. It would also require the IT people not to leak any concerns and they aren’t known for staying quiet about systems being penetrated.

        All in all it seems like a weird thing happened but the silence is verging on Secret Government Agency with millions of domestic spies that never write a tell all book conspiracy territory.

          • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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            15 hours ago

            I couldn’t find anything about voting machines named Starling. There is a StarLink theory. The problem is that seems to be based on a TikTok video that was incoherent by most reports, and is no longer up.

            I get that moneyed interests could get evidence removed from a centralized social media service. But nothing in the transcript I’ve found describes a specific link from StarLink to voting machines. In fact it sounds like the person just described the basics of TCP/IP in a roundabout way to make it sound sinister. The problem is election systems are air gapped with the exception of a few highly controlled access points. Situations where that’s been compromised, (such as allowing remote work from home for election office workers) have made the news for precisely the reason that it’s rare. And the most credible criticism of election security is that the election office’s computers could be compromised and used to spread malware to machines. But that’s an inherent weakness. If the office can’t access the results, they can’t report them.

            Furthermore, there’s nothing special about StarLink that would make them a better access route. They aren’t close enough to intercept the unofficial results as a false cellphone tower, (and that wouldn’t change the official results later anyways), and any traffic going through them to attack election systems would also have to travel through modems on the ground, controlled by election officials. So destroying the satellite does nothing for covering your tracks. If you believe they can erase all traces of their traffic, then there’s no need to destroy a satellite as surely that would be even easier on a satellite controlled by a close ally.

            At the end of the day, with what we know right now, the fuck up was with the Democrat’s messaging. Not anything to do with election security.

          • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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            1 day ago

            I haven’t seen anything. I know Arizona for sure would be all over it. Their last three SoS elections were about keeping Maga out of the elections. The current governor is governor largely for standing up to Trump in 2020. If they thought they got hacked they would be using bullhorns to let us know.

  • mercano@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    The fact that a majority of voters did not want Trump to win makes me simultaneously feel happy (that I’m not surrounded by idiots) and more depressed (that the Electoral College has screwed us AGAIN!)

      • arandomthought@sh.itjust.works
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        1 day ago

        Yeah does it really make that much of a difference in terms of “being surrounded by idiots” whether 51% of the people around you are idiots or 49%? Sure, I’d prefer the 49% scenario, especially if there’s an election happening, but you’re still surrounded by idiots.

        • Semi-Hemi-Lemmygod@lemmy.world
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          1 day ago

          The fact that Trump could get elected at all, let alone twice, is proof that there’s too many idiots to want to participate in normal society

      • shalafi@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        Typical liberal cope.

        “We KINDA won!”

        Face it y’all. Democrats and liberals are a LOSING block. FAILURES.

        I’ll continue to vote straight D, because it’s the only choice I got. Fucking losers and failures.

    • testfactor@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      He still had more of the popular vote than Harris, it was just they were both less than 50% due to 3rd party votes. So neither had a “majority” of the vote.

      So he still would have won, even under a purely popular vote based system.

      • Pennomi@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        Another thing it means is that if we had ranked choice voting, those 3rd party votes would be the deciding factor in who won the presidency.

  • cultsuperstar@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    It sucks that the Dems don’t bother with a recount, even if it’s still the same result. Republicans wanted recounts just about everywhere they could in 2020. Instead they just say “welp, looks like we lost. Here’s the keys to the kingdom.” Do some due diligence and have a damn recount.

    • bunchberry@lemmy.world
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      3 hours ago

      Democrats like losing because they only disagree on Republicans on like 2 issues and their funding is great when Republicans are in power.

    • nucleative@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      Those kind of things have to be done in every single district and costs millions of dollars. Unless there’s a probable chance, it’s probably better to save the cash and use it for something that could get results in the future

  • testfactor@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    To be clear, because the headline I think is a bit misrepresentative. Trump still has over a million more votes than Harris. He just no longer has over 50% of the votes cast.

    It’s like 49% Trump, 48% Harris, 3% Other. So Trump still won the popular vote.

    This isn’t a “the Electoral College screwed us” situation. He still “won” the popular vote. He just didn’t win a “majority” of the votes cast.

    • Wrench@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      Yep. And as much as I’d like to blame 3rd party voters, even if they all voted Harris to giver her the majority, she’d have still lost due to electoral college.

      I will absolutely blame the non-voters though. And the 3rd party voters still get part of the blame.

  • TommySoda@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    Wasn’t it something like he only gained about 500,000 votes from the last primary election? The reason the Democrats lost was because they lost 10,000,000 due to people just straight up not voting for Kamala by either going 3rd party, switching to Trump, or abstaining. In my opinion it wasn’t really Trump’s popularity that won him the election but more of just the Democrats lack of popularity.

    • iAmTheTot@sh.itjust.works
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      1 day ago

      Actually, Harris did nearly as well or better than Biden in the only states that matter, the swing states. In the ones the Harris didn’t beat Biden’s vote total, even if she had gotten it Trump would have still won the electoral college.

      In other words, no it’s not because dems didn’t vote.

  • 7112@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    The big problem is we all think someone else will solve this issue. All the investigations, congress, and even the public… they did nothing.

    Run for office. Start small. Kick them out of the school boards follow their playbook and work bottom up.

    • frunch@lemmy.world
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      21 hours ago

      That is certainly a possible solution. However I also think a lot of folks simply don’t have the time to commit in addition to their regular jobs and responsibilities. Guess that’s how we wound up with so wealthy people in politics… they got all that free time ⏰ (and they think they know what’s best for everyone else too, perhaps? 🙃)

    • Restaldt@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      “If you have the ability to lead you have the obligation to. Because if you don’t you need to consider who will”