Summary

A Russian presidential plane from the Kremlin’s Rossiya Special Flight Squadron visited New York and Washington, D.C., in late December, sparking speculation amid tense U.S.-Russia relations.

Moscow claimed the flight carried rotating diplomats, but its timing raises questions about Trump’s potential dealings with Vladimir Putin.

Trump has promised to end the Ukraine war in a day, alarming NATO officials who fear a deal that could harm Kyiv and alter NATO’s eastern border dynamics.

The flight highlights ongoing diplomatic maneuvering ahead of Trump’s January 20 inauguration.

  • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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    17 days ago

    NATO officials who fear a deal that could harm Kyiv and alter NATO’s eastern border dynamics.

    And why do they think Ukraine would agree to such a deal?

    • irotsoma@lemmy.world
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      17 days ago

      They won’t have a choice. That’s what he meant by ending it in a day. He’ll likely agree to allow Russia to use extreme measures on what the US will then officially consider Russian territory without risking retaliation from the US since it will then be Ukraine who is the aggressor on paper if they don’t withdraw and stand down. And the if NATO refuses to acknowledge the new agreement it will just give Trump the excuse to withdraw from it like he keeps threatening.

      • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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        17 days ago

        They won’t have a choice

        Of course they will.

        He’ll likely agree to allow Russia to use extreme measures

        That will end the NATO alliance. And Europe will continue with many independent countries to support Ukraine.

        it will just gibe Trump the excuse to withdraw from it like he keeps threatening.

        Then the world will dramatically change, and democratic countries can nolonger work with USA, and USA will lose ALL soft power they have.
        I seriously doubt the rest of the US administration and the oligarchy will allow that.

  • bitjunkie@lemmy.world
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    16 days ago

    THERE’S NO QUESTION ABOUT IT. THE PRESIDENT-ELECT IS A FUCKING RUSSIAN ASSET.

    God damn it, I wish the news outlets would take the kid gloves off already.

  • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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    17 days ago

    Biden lame ducked himself so hard that this isn’t a news story. Literally the entire world has already switched to talking to Trump unless it’s something that’s happening before January 20th. Yes Putin sucks, but he’s also the only person in the world who can call off the war in Ukraine. So without evidence of fuckery I find it hard to care.

  • Cocodapuf@lemmy.world
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    16 days ago

    This deserves an “we regret there was some kind of malfunction with a SAM system” without any actual apology.

  • lennybird@lemmy.world
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    17 days ago

    Biden needs to transfer to Ukraine a nuke right now to provide some M.A.D. insurance. If he doesn’t, I worry Trump will look the other way completely should Russia escalate with tactical ones or worse.

    Edit: Guys, please educate yourselves on MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) Theory. The point is deterrence through mutual destruction, which effectively worked during the Cold War.

    EDIT: Russians down-voting? I can only assume given the curious lack of substantive counter-arguments.

    Because Republicans with Trump gained full control of the US, effectively all geopolitical support is going to drop off for Ukraine over the next 4 years. It is imperative that Ukraine be given leverage ahead of this transition.

      • lennybird@lemmy.world
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        17 days ago

        For the same exact reason that all those surrounding nations aren’t committing their own forces to the defense of Ukraine is the exact same reason why providing Ukraine itself with a nuke as a deterrent to Russia’s use is essential.

        Yes, other nations surrounding Ukraine have nukes. However, the odds are much higher that should Russia use nukes on Ukraine that all the surrounding nations would furrow their eyebrows heavily and condemn the attacks but ultimately do nothing because they want to contain the damage to Ukraine. Chamberlains everywhere would simply reiterate, “This is a tragic day for the world, but we cannot risk a greater conflict.” Meanwhile Tump, of course, would look the other way and seek to undermine any substantive NATO response at every turn.

        To reemphasize my point that many seem to have missed: This is about giving the actual victim — Ukraine — agency to defend itself directly from a nuclear threat. I trust Zelenskyy to utilize it reactely, not proactively.

        • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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          17 days ago

          I agree, but many are like:
          Oh no 😱, that would be crossing a Russian read line! 🤮
          Man I hate this argument, Russia only respect one thing, and that is strength. And Putin is insane, he is gambling with extremely high stakes, and has upped the stakes consistently for years now.
          All the pearl clutching people are doing, is only helping Russia.

          • lennybird@lemmy.world
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            17 days ago

            Exactly. I say fuck Putin’s red line and give Ukraine nukes to deter Russia unilaterally.

            If surrounding nations are unwilling to commit conventional ground forces or establish a No-Fly-Zone over Ukraine for risk of escalation, can we really count on them to respond effectively should tactical nukes or worse be used by Russia against Ukraine? I think not.

          • lennybird@lemmy.world
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            17 days ago

            Perhaps not; however:

            1. This is practically speaking only reinstating the Budapest Memorandum given Russia’s failure to comply.

            2. It is very probable he remains in power over the next 4 years, which are the most pivotal 4 years of Ukraine’s future and most dire period for nuclear threat against them.

            • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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              17 days ago

              I don’t think you are understanding my point. The next person to come to power in Ukraine might decide to use it proactively. Once the genie is out of the bottle, it doesn’t get put back in.

              • lennybird@lemmy.world
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                17 days ago

                Respectfully, I believe I do understand your point and I’ll try to echo your side to verify that; but you may not be understanding mine.

                What I believe your point is: If we give Ukraine nukes now, the future leadership could be volatile, thereby increasing the net-volatility of the region.

                However, let’s consider what I view as reasonable assumptions at the geopolitical level, both now and into the future:

                • If say, 4 years from now or whenever Zelenskyy (still overwhelmingly popular in Ukraine) steps down, the future leadership of Ukraine becomes volatile, then MAD theory still works symmetrically; after all, Russia clearly has many more nukes than Ukraine and that spells their destruction.

                • Practically-speaking, Ukraine geopolitical inertia has moved heavily toward the orbit of the West and its humanitarian values.

                • If future Ukrainian leadership is unstable, it is therefore reasonable to assume that they are likely Russian-centric and sympathetic; therefore, they would be unlikely to unilaterally and proactively attack Russia.

                • We trust Ukraine NOW. We trust Zelenskyy NOW.

                • The risk of Russia launching nuclear attacks against Ukraine during Trump’s administration is orders of magnitude greater than the risk in the preceding years going back to 2014.

                • Therefore, we should be far more concerned about the immediate, real danger Russia poses to Ukraine as opposed to the speculative danger of future hypotheticals down the road that — in my opinion — do not hold water given the aforementioned geopolitical climate. When Russia and North Korea already have nukes and are a global threat, I really am not concerned about the small Ukrainian country who is currently fighting the good fight on behalf of all of us. Seems to be putting the cart before the horse.

                • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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                  17 days ago

                  Why do you think there is any risk of Russia launching a nuclear attack against Ukraine? What would that gain them?

          • lennybird@lemmy.world
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            17 days ago

            Yep, the Budapest Memorandum. Prior to the current government and contingent, of course, on Russia providing Ukraine with sovereignty and security assurances from (as source notes), UK, US, and Russia.

            Naturally, Russia reneged on their side of the agreement.

      • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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        17 days ago

        Yes, but there could easily be doubt those would be used to defend Ukraine, and make whatever country using them a Russian nuclear target.
        If Ukraine has their own, it’s a way more obvious defense for Ukraine, and Russia will know for sure they can’t use nukes without retaliation with nukes.