It’s not wildly different, or not enough to distract from the meaning, especially when dealing with the general populace.
A pollster typically works for one firm conducting the actual polls, the aggregators are paying attention to how those pollsters work and aggregating them.
So sure, he’s a polling aggregator, does this significantly change the meaning of the comment?
His 2016 prediction was 70% chance for Clinton, and 30% chance for Trump. That’s substantially higher odds for Trump than any other notable prediction.
Yup. Disliking the guy is no reason for academic dishonesty though. He gave 70/30 odds. The key part about odds though is that they’re basically confidence ratings.
He was wrong and surprised, along with basically everyone else.
Guy came up with the method basically everyone uses to combine and aggregate polling data now, which is far more accurate than previous methods. It’s weird to say he’s an idiot.
This post is what happens when you can’t handle the concept that others would disagree with you.
(Someone sat down and decided that one of the most accurate pollsters in America today is a dumbie.)
He’s not a pollster. He’s an aggregator; that’s something very different. He uses many other people’s polls to weight them into one aggregation.
It’s not wildly different, or not enough to distract from the meaning, especially when dealing with the general populace.
A pollster typically works for one firm conducting the actual polls, the aggregators are paying attention to how those pollsters work and aggregating them.
So sure, he’s a polling aggregator, does this significantly change the meaning of the comment?
Also didn’t he predict Hilary Clinton would win in 2016?
His 2016 prediction was 70% chance for Clinton, and 30% chance for Trump. That’s substantially higher odds for Trump than any other notable prediction.
Yup. Disliking the guy is no reason for academic dishonesty though. He gave 70/30 odds. The key part about odds though is that they’re basically confidence ratings.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/
He was wrong and surprised, along with basically everyone else.
Guy came up with the method basically everyone uses to combine and aggregate polling data now, which is far more accurate than previous methods. It’s weird to say he’s an idiot.
NateHate and not knowing what you’re talking about, name a more iconic duo XD
Ahaha, well put.