The clearest change that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is likely to make on foreign policy is in Ukraine. Republican support for spending more on sending weapons to Kyiv has been declining, and Trump will probably follow through on his promise to seek a peace deal.
The problem is that peace will likely come at terms that do not favor Kyiv. Now, Ukraine’s military losses have begun to mount, and the practical barriers to continued support to Ukraine—declining Western stockpiles, Ukraine’s significant manpower and corruption problems—have increased. Trump has a popular mandate to seek a settlement, even though Europeans might object.
lol “peace deal”
You have to frame everything in terms that apply to trump. His goal is to be in a room with Putin, being praised for dealing with the Ukraine problem. He wants to be acknowledged by another dictator and strong man, that’s it. He’ll definitely pressure both Ukraine and their European supporters to accept Russian conquest of Ukrainian territory so he can get a ceasefire. It’s not because he hates Ukraine, he probably doesn’t care about them at all, it’s just the pursuit of affirmation for himself. It’s up to Europe, and hopefully RoK, to push forward and give democracy a win to raise everyone’s morale.
We should give Ukraine full air support. Best case, the war ends before we hand the keys of the Whitehouse to a Nazi. Worst case, we all erupt into nuclear fire before we hand the keys of the Whitehouse to a Nazi.
Win win.
To the headline: NO.
The clearest change that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is likely to make on foreign policy is in Ukraine.
Not really, despite his insane promises, he most likely will do nothing. Except block further aid to Ukraine. But that already happened when the house blocked aid for 8 months.
declining Western stockpiles
Many European countries are supporting Ukraines native weapon production, and increasing production in EU. Although USA has a bigger industrial complex, and some of the best weapons, I think the rest of the world will still more than a a match for Russia.
Ukraine’s significant manpower and corruption problems —have increased.
No it has not increased, and it is worse for Russia. Russia is blatantly corrupt, and their economy evidently cannot carry the burden of the war at current levels, where Ukraine has a financial budget for next year that seems way more sustainable.
Ukraine will win without USA, because the rest of the world will continue to support Ukraine.
