“Enthusiasm” has always been a “flex” for GOP these recent elections.

Is that similar to a noise meter at events?

The enthusiasm equals 2 football fields plus 6 cubits.

  • Zipitydew@sh.itjust.works
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    4 months ago

    Wild levels of hopium.

    North Carolina maybe. Georgia and Pennsylvania again are going to be tough but reasonable to hope for.

    But Florida? Ronda won with 60% of the vote 2 years ago. Winning counties that had been traditionally blue.

    Florida continues to skew older and is accelerating in average age. Mass migration of retired Boomers continues to push the state harder conservative. They’re on pace for 1/3rd of the adults to be older than 65 in a couple years. It was 1/4 not that long ago.

    Number of registered Republicans has recovered since the pandemic. Is now nearly 1M above Democrats.

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Oh dont get me wrong. Until I finish the work I have on my plate and can really dig into the data, its pure hopium.

      I was only able to run some very preliminary stats, but in the aggregate, a move in votership of 3-5% might be plenty. It was less of a difference than that which put Obama in the white house.

      But plenty doesn’t matter; where plenty happens is what matters.