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Cake day: February 28th, 2024

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  • My uneducated guesses:

    1. Starlink’s existing provision for Earth could be achieved for Mars too, using a very similar system
    2. In some ways, Mars will be easier.
      1. Much thinner atmosphere
      2. Far fewer of the constraints needed to ‘play nice’ with an existing high-tech civilization, like minimizing reflections of sunlight to the ground, or avoiding radio interference.
    3. But the first generation system for Mars will be different in an important way: significantly higher altitude
      1. Thus higher ping times
      2. And fewer satellites than would otherwise be needed for continuous coverage, which in turn means lower total bandwidth capability, and less redundancy, but much cheaper & quicker to set up and maintain.
    4. None of the above covers the actual NASA requirement/aspiration for new interplanetary comms (which seems to be referred to as “DRM 4”).
      1. For one thing, an in-space laser link that can cover 100s of miles efficiently, is qualitatively different from one that can cover 100s of millions of miles.
      2. But as NASA has already achieved over 6 Mbps across 240 million miles, SpaceX will also be able to create a usable interplanetary link
    5. SpaceX will equip some of their Earth-orbiting Starlink satellites, and all of their Marslink satellites, with this qualitatively different, and outward-facing, laser comms tech.
      1. Having, as your endpoints, devices that are orbiting around planets, is disadvantageous in some ways, such as the fact they spend about half the time on the wrong side.
      2. But SpaceX will find a way to make it into an advantage. (Multiple simultaneous connections?)

    Any thoughts?

    Also, you need a relay capability when the sun is in the way. But are such relays expected to be beneficial even at other times? Will SpaceX find a way to make them beneficial?

    P.S. It’s interesting that Spaceflight Now did a tweet thread on this NASA presentation, but didn’t consider it worth an article. Yet PC Mag made a whole article primarily out of 1/3 of a slide from one of those tweets by Spaceflight Now! (And I’m glad they did!)







  • Watched some of the official coverage: https://www.youtube.com/live/5CRB3FHV9Dw

    Things that were new to me:

    • 1:40:50 Drone footage of the capsule lift
    • 34:42 Jones explains that the same set of 12 hooks secures Dragon to either its nosecone or to the ISS. Makes perfect sense; I’d just never thought about it before.
    • 1:35:57 “There are multiple options so if Dragon were to splash down in a different orientation they could egress from the top hatch as well.”
      • Would this be a last resort after they’d tried & failed to correct the orientation?
      • Would it only be used when Dragon was still in the sea or would they ever lift Dragon onto the boat in an orientation that necessitated top hatch egress?

    And all this talk of Dragon orientation, combined with the extensive weather delays in Crew-8’s departure, got me wondering … How would Dragon fare if it was left in very rough seas for an extended period? (Imagine the recovery vessel broke down a minute after splash-down and then a big multi-day storm blew in, or something.)









  • The fairing looks spotless. I guess they’re using a new one, at least partly for reasons of cleanliness? (Planetary protection and all that.)

    With boosters we’re at the point where “flight proven” is no longer just a euphemism for “second hand”. I’ve felt that way myself for a few years. And NASA basically confirmed they agree a couple of months ago, when the brand new booster intended for Crew-9 was given a Starlink mission first, increasing confidence in it after a minor problem during transport. (IIRC)

    But I’m not sure if we’re at that point with fairings. Or even if we’ll ever be.


  • I like SpaceX’s Sarah Walker, despite (or partly because of?) the fact that she tends not to answer questions from mere mortals (non-SpaceX / non-NASA personnel).

    For example, at the Post-Launch News Conference, there was a question about pulsive splashdown (although that term was not used).

    She seemed to imply that the capability would have been available for Crew-7 if it wasn’t for a problem with one of the GPS sensors. (Was this problem known about well in advance of undocking? Would that be why they didn’t announce the new capability at the time?)

    She spent most of the time confirming the point I made in my first comment on this post, about taking into account any extra risks that this capability might add, and she said that it had taken “years”.

    She didn’t answer whether it’s available if the parachutes fail during a launch abort, nor tell us any of the (non-NASA) missions it has been active for (of which Gerst had said there were “several”).

    Here’s the question: https://www.youtube.com/live/wwhfph1vGdE?t=32m30s (at 32:30)



  • At 52:05, Stephen Clark asked about this. The start of Gerst’s answer is:

    We’ve actually flown it on several other dragon flights before this. This is the first time it flies on a NASA mission.

    So, perhaps Inspiration 4? Presumably Polaris Dawn? And I guess the Axiom missions are being counted as non-NASA in this context, so some of those?

    Before doing something like this I think you should ensure that it reduces the overall risk to the crew. So you’d need to have an estimate of how likely it is that all the parachutes fail, and how likely it is that the SuperDracos could save lives in that situation, but also an estimate of how likely this capability is to go wrong. For example, could there be a bug in the software or in some sensor(s), that causes the SuperDracos to fire when they weren’t needed? Would the SuperDracos otherwise be in an inactive state during re-entry, and if so, what are the risks of having them active? Etc…

    Those 2 sentences from Gerstenmaier suggest to me that SpaceX had already decided that, on balance, this capability should be enabled. Whereas NASA have only just reached that conclusion.