They sure don’t tend to do that, but there are still mundane explanations for this. An unintentional collision between the satellite and another object being one of them.

“I find it hard to believe they would use such a big satellite as an ASAT target,” McDowell said.

Not because of Kessler syndrome, just your run of the mill space debris reentering the atmosphere and increasing the amounts of certain metals up there that contribute to ozone depletion. In other words, that may well happen even if we’re lucky and avoid Kessler syndrome.