In Nate Silver’s electoral forecast, Trump is now leading Harris by 6.5% to win the electoral college.

This final stretch is eerily similar to Clinton/Trump.

I would appreciate people not knee-jerk downvoting this post just because they don’t like what it implies. It’s worth being aware that Trump has been steadily gaining for a month, Harris has been losing ground, and this model now has her likely to lose. Ignoring these facts makes it difficult to do anything about them.

  • Kethal@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    I don’t know what I’m missing here, but I don’t see numbers for the race at the link provided. I just see national polling numbers.

    • WoahWoah@lemmy.worldOP
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      1 month ago

      Scroll down to the subtitle posted as the post title. It’s roughly the fourth poll on the page. Sorry, I didn’t know how to link it directly to that poll.

      • Kethal@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        I can’t figure out what you mean. The subtitle in the lemmy post goes to the same place. Within the article I dont see a link elsewhere.

        • WoahWoah@lemmy.worldOP
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          1 month ago

          … it’s the 4th poll on the page. It’s also the 6th graph. I don’t know what else to tell you.