After noticing the electoral votes changed for this election from the last in 2020, I counted the change in differences of republican states and democratic states, ignoring the swing states. I noticed republican states gained more votes this time than last, and democratic states lost votes, overall giving republicans more electoral votes for this election. Then I kept on going all the way back to almost the civil war. To me, it seems the electoral college has been favoring red states from 1968 to present time. I want to post this somewhere to get feedback if there is a legit trend (red/right leaning) or I have missed something or anything else.

I tried to color the sheets so they are not too hard to read and understand. I also color coded conservative party as red, and liberal party as blue. There was a party shift between 1960 and 1980, probably having 1971 as the inflection point (WTF happened in 1971?). It was interesting to see some states stay mostly their colors from the remnants of the civil war to present day. You should be able to download the document, if you want.

Also, should I also send this to my representative or would that be pointless, or fruitless?

  • Skyrmir@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Red states have always been low population states. Over time every state grows, but the big states were already big. The smaller states have more room to grow, big pop states are more expensive because of the population so grow less.

    It’s not some conspiracy, it’s just math. Now the Senate is another thing. There shouldn’t be two Dakota’s for one thing, and New Mexico didn’t have the population to join either.

    • Audacious@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      1 month ago

      Assuming only red states have low population and grows faster is weird, but might be plausible. I could look into historical birth rates of each state, or population changes, comparing them to each other to see if the trends make sense. I assumed (or didn’t think of) there wouldn’t be bias growth rates based on state affiliation (red or blue). My first thought was gerrymandering and could it cause this bias. Either way, I didn’t think about population growth having an inherent bias in this.

  • InverseParallax@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Madison/01-10-02-0065

    There was one difficulty however of a serious nature attending an immediate choice by the people. The right of suffrage was much more diffusive in the Northern than the Southern States; and the latter could have no influence in the election on the score of the Negroes. The substitution of electors obviated this difficulty and seemed on the whole to be liable to fewest objections.

    The electoral college was designed from the start simply to let southern states launder slave votes.

    The first time the south lost control of the presidency, they rebelled in the Civil War, and they’ve used it to get the presidency or otherwise get power dozens of times.

    It’s something the south feels entitled to, an override over the government because they are “The Real Americans” as they wave their confederate flags proudly.

  • Audacious@sh.itjust.worksOP
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    1 month ago

    I forgot to add: In determining if the state was red or blue at a change point, I looked at the 4 prior election results, and 2 aft election results, 6 total to determine how red, blue, or tied purple it was for that time. It’s the only fudge factor that could be modified because it’s just a guess, but I think the trend will remain even if you modify this (Ex: 3 prior, 1 aft, 2 prior, 1 Aft, etc.)