The new NBC News poll shows 51% of registered voters saying they plan to vote early, with that group breaking hard for Harris and Election Day voters backing Trump.

Half of registered voters plan to vote early this fall, new figures from the September NBC News poll show, with Democrats continuing to run up the score among early voters and Republicans getting stronger backing from those who plan to vote in person on Election Day.

Fifty-one percent of voters say they’ll vote early, either by mail or in person, with Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 61%-35% (a 26-point margin) among those voters.

By comparison, Trump leads by 20 points, 57%-37%, with the group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, which accounts for 45% of the electorate in the poll. It’s a smaller lead among a slightly smaller share of the electorate than Harris has over those early voters.


🗳️ Register to vote: https://vote.gov/

  • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Democrats - particularly in low-income and minority majority areas - tend to face enormous lines at voting booths on election day. Polling stations regularly run out of ballots or have lots of broken and misconfigured machines. Polling delays can lead to legal drama around whether ballots will even be counted

    Republicans, particularly those concentrated in the wealthy suburbs, rarely have these problems.

    This tends to shape voter behavior over the long term.

  • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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    2 months ago

    And DeJoy is still Postmaster General. I’m sure he won’t try to fuck with and delay the carriage of completed and returned ballots just like he did in 2020. WCGW 🤦‍♂️

  • GlendatheGayWitch@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    If you’re in TX, polls will be open from Oct 21- Nov 1, with one final day to vote on Nov 5. Your voter registration must be approved on or before Oct 7 to vote in this election.

    Polls will be open at least 9 hours the first week and at least 12 hours during the second week and final day to vote. Go early and you won’t have much of a line, if there’s even a line at all! We were the first state with early voting, so take advantage of it!

    www.votetexas.gov has all the info you need. You can check your voter registration, find voter registration forms, see polling locations and their hours for the entire voting period, and find answers to other election questions.

  • fireweed@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    This may have something to do with which states do all-mail voting:

    Eight states—California, Colorado, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Vermont and Washington and the District of Columbia—allow all elections to be conducted entirely by mail.

    Utah is deep red, but the others are quite blue. Especially with California in there, that’s a pretty good chunk of the US that votes early by default (there are same-day options in these states, but I suspect that option is often utilized due to procrastination rather than intentionally waiting until election day to vote).

  • Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    In Florida, the early votes are tabulated election day morning and are reported with the first results reports from the precinct.

  • ilinamorato@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    So if I’m doing my math correctly, that’s 49%-45% for Harris in the popular vote. And that 49% is pretty much right on where she’s been polling in traditional polls. But Trump has been polling way higher than 45% recently—so if this is in any way true, he’s got a much tougher path to victory ahead of him than the standard numbers suggest.