• usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    8
    ·
    edit-2
    2 months ago

    Some recent polls put florida at only trump+2 or trump+3 . There’s a rather realistic case where polling error underestimating dems by 2% or more could make it a tight race

    Polling errors over estimating republican by that much have happened in the past. In 2012, republicans were overestimated for president by on average by 2.5%