With a 30 points lead over Hamilton for points scored at Baku, Pérez will retain his lead, no matter what happens.
But with the current competitive state of the Red Bulls in tracks with slow corners, the lead could suffer a dent if Hamilton has a good weekend.
If Norris has a good weekend, he could jump a few spots, and Piastri could finally enter into the conversation, as he failed to score a point in 2023.
Is the gap between Verstappen and Perez so large because of DNFs?