The presidential election isn't a toss-up
www.natesilver.net
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.
  • Lasherz12@lemmy.world
    0·
    5 months ago

    Which would make it a more extreme position than his position in this election, so the point stands.

    • tko@tkohhh.socialEnglish
      0·
      5 months ago

      I agree… I was simply clarifying that Nate Silver did NOT predict that Hillary would win (nor is he predicting that Trump will win this election), which is a common misunderstanding about probability. For these types of models to be meaningful to the public, there needs to be literacy on what is meant by the percentages given. Really, I’m just reinforcing rodneylives’ point from another angle!