A few things of note here. First, there is no guarantee that Mike Johnson will even be in a position to do anything about it. It’s the new Congress that counts these votes, so if Democrats can pick up a few seats then Jeffries will be Speaker.
Second, recall that they made some changes to the EC voting process:
They increased the threshold of members who need to object to 1/5 of each body (so, 87 House members + 20 Senators). Is it possible they already have these people in the bag? Possibly, especially since the yo-yos who objected last time haven’t really had any consequences to that.
They also clarified exactly two grounds for challenges:
The electors of a state were not lawfully certified
An elector’s vote was not “regularly given”
But I suppose there is nothing to really stop them from claiming the electors were not lawfully certified, even if they were. They are still complaining that Jack Smith wasn’t lawfully installed, and even got a judge to buy into it.
They are still complaining that Jack Smith wasn’t lawfully installed, and even got a judge to buy into it.
That judge being Aileen Cannon, who Trump nominated, has been obviously slow walking his case, is clearly doing everything she can to protect him, and even she wasn’t stupid enough to try this argument until Clarence Thomas dropped a big fat hint in a SCOTUS decision to give her cover.
““A tie in the Electoral College will then require a vote in the House of Representatives, where the GOP, led by Speaker Johnson, has a (thin) majority…””
Except that the new Congress is sworn in on 1/2.
Right now the Republican majority is 220 to 212 with 3 vacancies.
*Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-WI) resigned effective 04/25/2024. b
*Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D-TX) died 07/19/2024.
*Rep. Bill Pascrell (D-NJ) died 08/21/2024.
So, if the Democrats maintain those 2 vacancies, that makes it 220 to 214.
All of the seats are up for re-election.
If just 4 seats flip, that makes it 218 to 216 Democrats.
But if the House decides the election, it’s not by Reps, each state makes a vote. And there are more R states than D states, so it will absolutely go to Trump.
If the Speaker allows it to go forward…
Imagine that actually goes through and one of the Republicans actually gets a conscience and falls on his sword and throws in for Kamala.
There are actually enough Republicans who won’t go for this. It’s a stupid plan. I’m sure there are already contingency plans to prevent this dumb shit from even getting there.
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