I see this as a push for Allred more than thinking Harris will win the state.
I have a tough time imagining left-leaning voters would vote for Allred and not Harris, so that would require right-leaning voters casting votes for Trump but not Cruz. And I can’t envision that being a common enough scenario to split the state-wide vote like that.
Do not underestimate how much some people (even in Texas) hate Ted Cruz. I can totally see a ticket split there.
I mean, if Beto “Psychedelic Warlord” O’Rourke can almost win there after threatening to grab everyone’s guns, then there must be a lot of people looking for any alternative to Cruz.
I am in Texas, and I do hate Ted Cruz. But in 2020 we saw Trump underperform down-ballot races. We would have to see him outperform them this year and we now have the fallout from Dobbs motivating voters in favor of Harris. What issues would make someone vote for Trump and not Cruz?
A lot of Trump voters vote for Trump and then leave the rest of the ballot blank. My ballot was 74 pages and Texas eliminated party line voting.
… Your ballot was 74 pages? How? My city makes a big deal when we have to use the back of the 1 sheet of 11x18 paper. Granted we have off year elections in our state, so things are a little more divided, but that’s a long way from a 74 page short story of a ballot
But Trump underperformed down-ballot in 2020. People showed up to vote for all the other Republicans but then not for him.
If enough people make it to the polls, she could win.
Hillary lost by 5% of registered voters (800,000 votes), Biden by 3.5% of registered voters (~630,000 votes).
From what I’ve seen the first day of early voting (yesterday) was breaking records with over 45,000 votes cast in Travis County (Austin, TX) and Dallas cast over 55,000 votes. We just need the momentum to continue.
I voted yesterday in a packed blue district. It was crowded, which is good, but there was a notable absence of young voters, which is bad. Hopefully, this just means that experienced voters are more likely to vote on the first day of early voting and first time voters can be convinced to go to the polls before or on election day.
It’s also a school day, so they may have been in class. At least that’s what I’m hoping. Most, of not all, of my polling places are open 7AM-7PM this Saturday and 11AM-5PM this Sunday. I imagine the younger voters will be more able to vote then between college classes and jobs.
The first week of voting also has shorter hours (at least 9 hours required by law) versus the second week with polls open at least 12 hours a day. Those longer hours are going to be more compatible with those holding multiple jobs or school/job.
To me, this says they’re seeing lots of data suggesting that we’re already winning this election.
I hope you’re right, but in 2016, Clinton thought the toss up and lean blue states were safe and chose to pile resources into lean red/safe red states like Missouri, Texas, and Indiana. Admittedly, the political landscape of 2024 is different. AZ was also targeted by Clinton and the rapid push left in Texas has them worried enough to pass laws to invalidate blue district votes. But still, I hope you’re right and this isn’t a huge gamble.
Indiana?!
Whoever suggested that she go spend time in a solid red state where the opposing VP was from needs to be tarred and feathered.
But that doesn’t mean we can rest on our laurels, of course.
If you can, volunteer or donate for the Harris campaign, and definitely vote!
At the very least that texas senate is seriously winnable and they feel reasonably confident of other states
Still make sure to get out there and vote and volunteer. If it’s a lose, make it a win. If it’s a close win, make it a big one. If it’s a big win, make it a landslide
Register to vote if you haven’t. Deadlines are quickly passing in many states
Volunteer for Dems and for Harris nearby in person or online
Or, they suspect ratfuckery in more than a few states and want to make sure they don’t ignore TX, because if they can shift it for Harris then it won’t matter how much GA is ratfucked.
Can’t help but think of how Bush Jr spent his last week campaign in California, back in Oct of 2000.
The Republican obsession with winning back California and the Democrat obsession with winning back Texas… The ghosts of Reagan and LBJ hoover over these parties eternally.
She focus on those swing states unfortunately. Hillary didn’t and she lost
That’s a waste of time… Get back to Michigan!
She is going to Michigan literally the day after the Texas visit.
Where she will be joined, for the first time, by Michelle Obama.
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